{"id":87,"date":"2008-01-27T15:06:02","date_gmt":"2008-01-27T19:06:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/2008\/01\/27\/betting-on-global-warming\/"},"modified":"2008-01-27T15:06:00","modified_gmt":"2008-01-27T19:06:00","slug":"betting-on-global-warming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/betting-on-global-warming\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting on Global Warming"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In 1998 Patrick Michaels, a University of Virginia climatologist, proposed a bet: &#8220;If we were of a betting sort (and there are some nasty rumors going around that we are), we would be willing to wager that the 10-year period beginning in January 1998 and extending through December 2007 will show a statistically significant downward trend in the monthly satellite record of global temperatures.&#8221; Tree huggers should have taken him up on it, because the data is in and he would have lost. Proof of Global Warming!<\/p>\n<p>Well, not so much. Not at all. There have been tiny changes, but none that are statistically significant. One dataset shows a drop of -0.06 degrees Celsius. Another shows an increase of .04 degrees. Another shows an increase of .173, yet another shows an increase of .142. This <a href=\"http:\/\/reason.com\/news\/show\/124393.html\" target=\"_blank\">article <\/a>doesn&#8217;t specify the margin of error, but it&#8217;s likely that the spread covers the numbers well enough to write off even these minuscule changes as random noise.<\/p>\n<p>So great news, right?  This has been on the front pages of newspapers everywhere right?<\/p>\n<p>Yeah, right.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 1998 Patrick Michaels, a University of Virginia climatologist, proposed a bet: &#8220;If we were of a betting sort (and there are some nasty rumors going around that we are), we would be willing to wager that the 10-year period beginning in January 1998 and extending through December 2007 will show a statistically significant downward [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}