{"id":924,"date":"2009-10-25T12:34:59","date_gmt":"2009-10-25T17:34:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/?p=924"},"modified":"2009-10-25T21:16:05","modified_gmt":"2009-10-26T02:16:05","slug":"cell-phones-and-brain-cancer-%e2%80%93-more-junk-science-from-the-who","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/cell-phones-and-brain-cancer-%e2%80%93-more-junk-science-from-the-who\/","title":{"rendered":"Cell Phones and Brain Cancer \u00e2\u20ac\u201c More Junk Science from the WHO"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The link between cell phones and brain cancer has been studied and studied and studied to death, and the results are conclusive:\u00c2\u00a0 there is no correlation between the two.\u00c2\u00a0 Yet the WHO, a political organization posing as a health organization, is now claiming otherwise.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s take a look at the actual study.\u00c2\u00a0 Oh, wait, we can&#8217;t.\u00c2\u00a0 It hasn&#8217;t been published yet.\u00c2\u00a0 The WHO is engaging in &#8220;Science by Press Conference,&#8221; where researchers make bold proclamations about their findings long before their results are published.\u00c2\u00a0 Quite often the actual results are far less impressive than the original claims, but by the time the study is published the press has lost interest and the public is left with an erroneous impression they assume is fact.<\/p>\n<p>We can piece together some information from the press releases.\u00c2\u00a0 It appears this was done via survey, one of the least reliable ways of collecting information.\u00c2\u00a0 Quick, how much did you use your cell phone in 2003?\u00c2\u00a0 If someone asks this question you&#8217;re going to guess, just like everyone else.\u00c2\u00a0 Someone with brain cancer who believes there&#8217;s a connection is likely to guess much higher than the average interviewee.\u00c2\u00a0 This is called recall bias, and makes survey based studies very unreliable.<\/p>\n<p>The head of the study, Dr. Elisabeth Cardis, said, &#8220;In the <em>absence of definitive<\/em> <em>results <\/em>and in the light of a number of studies which, though limited, <em>suggest <\/em>a <em>possible <\/em>effect of radiofrequency radiation, precautions are important.&#8221;\u00c2\u00a0 (Emphases added.) Ah, so they don&#8217;t have any definitive results.\u00c2\u00a0 Big surprise.\u00c2\u00a0 No wonder they&#8217;re resorting to Science By Press Conference.<\/p>\n<p>While searching for more information on this I came across another study making similar claims.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I went into this really dubious that anything was going on,&#8221; Joel Moskowitz\u00c2\u00a0 of the University of California, Berkeley, School of Public Health, told the Los Angeles Times. &#8220;Overall, you find no difference. But when you start teasing the studies apart and doing these subgroup analyses, you do find there is reason to be concerned.&#8221; Moskowitz is one of the coauthors of the new study; the lead author is Seung-Kwon Myung of South Korea&#8217;s National Cancer Center.\u00c2\u00a0 (source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.microwavenews.com\/\">Microwave News<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>So there&#8217;s no increase in tumors until you start &#8220;teasing&#8221; the numbers.\u00c2\u00a0 You have to massage them and fondle them and caress them and seduce them into rolling over and putting out the data you want.<\/p>\n<p>This was a meta-analysis, which should set of any smartenized person&#8217;s bullshit meter.\u00c2\u00a0 Meta-analysis consists of cherry picking studies, dumping the data into a blender, setting the speed to &#8220;bullshit&#8221; and extracting any numbers you like.<\/p>\n<p>Their<a href=\"http:\/\/jco.ascopubs.org\/cgi\/content\/abstract\/JCO.2008.21.6366v1  \"> study<\/a> provides a perfect example.\u00c2\u00a0 They start with 465 articles and cherry pick 23 studies, but were still unable to extract any scary numbers.\u00c2\u00a0 Their odds ratio was .98.\u00c2\u00a0 (1.0 signifies no effect.) But then they cherry picked it even more, down to 13 studies, and were able to concoct an 18% risk.<\/p>\n<p>There are two major problems with that number.\u00c2\u00a0 First, the 1.18 odds ratio had a confidence interval of 1.04 to 1.34.\u00c2\u00a0 That means the real number can be somewhere between 4% and 34%.\u00c2\u00a0 If the lower bound of the CI was 1.0 or lower, (0%) the number would statically insignificant.\u00c2\u00a0 Therefore, even with all their data diddling they came up with a number that was just <em>barely<\/em> statically significant.<\/p>\n<p>The second problem is that any Odds Ratio or Relative Risk of less than 2.0 is highly suspect.\u00c2\u00a0 Epidemiology is a very crude science.\u00c2\u00a0\u00c2\u00a0 There are a myriad of problems associated with reducing human behavior to numbers and every study suffers from them  to some degree.\u00c2\u00a0 Because of this real epidemiologists are very suspicious of ORs or RRs of less than 2.0, and RRs in the teens or twenties are just too small for epidemiology to measure accurately.\u00c2\u00a0 It&#8217;s like trying to measure millimeters with a yardstick \u00e2\u20ac\u201c the tool is just too crude to do the job.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, we need to consider the honesty of the WHO.\u00c2\u00a0 They have a long history of fudging data.<\/p>\n<p>Their rating of health care in various countries, which put the US in 26th place, was a prime example.\u00c2\u00a0 Most people just accepted the numbers without looking at how they were concocted.\u00c2\u00a0 Half of the criteria rated a country on how thoroughly their health care was socialized.\u00c2\u00a0 The &#8220;study&#8221; was then touted as proof that socialized medicine is superior.\u00c2\u00a0 Cute.<\/p>\n<p>And then there&#8217;s their infamous second hand smoke <a href=\"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/facts\/who.html\">study<\/a>.\u00c2\u00a0 When their well done study showed no increase in lung cancer from SHS they tried to bury it, and would have succeeded if not for the hounding of the British press.\u00c2\u00a0\u00c2\u00a0 They finally acquiesced with a press release that lied about their findings in the title, while admitting the facts later in the article.<\/p>\n<p>A little while later they issued a new study that proclaimed SHS was deadly.\u00c2\u00a0 It was, not surprisingly, a meta analysis.<\/p>\n<p>This will, of course, be a boon to scum-sucking bottom feeders, and will give hypochondriacs something more to worry and bitch about.\u00c2\u00a0 But smartenized people will continue to use their cell phones without the least bit of worry.\u00c2\u00a0 As an added bonus people stupid enough to believe this may be afraid to answer your call, thus saving you from wasting time talking to them.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The link between cell phones and brain cancer has been studied and studied and studied to death, and the results are conclusive:\u00c2\u00a0 there is no correlation between the two.\u00c2\u00a0 Yet the WHO, a political organization posing as a health organization, is now claiming otherwise. Let&#8217;s take a look at the actual study.\u00c2\u00a0 Oh, wait, we [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/924"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=924"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/924\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":926,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/924\/revisions\/926"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.davehitt.com\/blog2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}